The latest update to this website was at 935pm Saturday (HST)

 

Here are the latest 24-hour precipitation totals (inches) for each of the islands as of Saturday evening:

3.52  Wainiha, Kauai
6.50  Kaala, Oahu
4.65    Puu Alii, Molokai
0.82   Lanai 1, Lanai
3.36  Haiku, Maui
7.67  Kehena, Big Island

The following numbers represent the strongest wind gusts (mph) as of Saturday evening:

37  Lihue, Kauai – NE
40  Oahu Forest NWR, Oahu – E
37  Molokai AP, Molokai – NE
36  Lanai 1,  Lanai – NE
45  Kealaloloa Rg, Maui – NW
52  Kohala Ranch, Big Island – NNE 

Hawaii’s MountainsHere’s a link to the live webcams on the summit of our tallest mountain Mauna Kea (~13,800 feet high) on the Big Island of Hawaii, and atop the Haleakala Crater (~10,023 feet) on Maui. These webcams are available during the daylight hours here in the islands, and at night whenever there’s a big moon shining down. Also, at night you will be able to see the stars, and the sunrise and sunset too…depending upon weather conditions.

 

https://weather.gc.ca/data/satellite/goes_gwdisk11_1070_100.jpg

Big Blue…click twice for largest version

 

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES18/ABI/SECTOR/tpw/13/GOES18-TPW-13-900x540.gif

 A cold front stalled over Maui

 

https://www.weather.gov/images/hfo/satellite/Hawaii_IR_loop.gif

Mostly cloudy across the state 

 

https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/standard/HAWAII_loop.gif

https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/standard/PHKI_loop.gif

https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/standard/PHKM_loop.gif

Rain showers…some are heavy 

 

https://www.weather.gov/wwamap/png/hfo.png

Please open this link to see details on the current Watches, Warnings and Advisories noted above

 

~~~ Hawaii Weather Narrative ~~~

 

>>> Please be aware as we move through this inclement weather event, that the power or internet connectivity could go out at any time, and I won’t be able to do the normal updating of this weather web site. If it does go out, I’ll begin updating right away after the power returns.

 

Glenn’s Saturday comments:  I’m here at home in upper Kula, Maui

It’s cloudy early this morning, with near calm winds, and a low temperature of 56.5 degrees at my place, and the relative humidity is 84%.

1252pm, just back from shopping in Paia, lots of rain all the way down and all the way back here to Kula! The temperature here at my place is a chilly 57.7 degrees…brrrr / 62 mph wind gust at the Kahului AP!

647pm, cloudy, windy, rainy, and a very cool 51.2 degrees here at my place in upper Kula…it’s winter!

940pm, it’s very gusty here in upper Kula, with just off and on misty conditions at the time of this writing, while the temperature here at my weather tower bottomed out at 49 degrees a few minutes ago,

 

Weather Wit of the day: Beautiful Weekend Forecast – “A tale of two pretties”

 

Interesting Weather Blog: Mauka Showers…Wet and Windy Super Bowl Sunday?

 

>>> Highest Temperature Saturday, February 7, 2026 – 87 near Spofford, TX
>>> Lowest Temperature Saturday, February 7, 2026 – minus 29 near Forest Center, MN

 

I suggest that we all, at least those of us who live in Hawaii, keep our devices charged up as long as possible, in case the power goes out as the winds increase going forward

 

Update…as of 832pm The cold front has stalled near Maui this evening. Periods of moderate to heavy showers are already developing along the Hamakua Coast on the Big Island with over 7 inches of rain reported in the town of Honokaa over a three hour time period. These heavier showers were produced by slow moving terrain anchored storm cells, heightening the threat for flash flooding. A Flash Flood Warning was issued this evening for the Big Island to cover this heavy rainfall event. Elsewhere, fast moving moderate to heavy rain showers continue to pass through the islands. These showers are capable of reaching up into higher levels of the atmosphere and pulling down stronger wind gusts to the surface. Wind gusts above 50 mph are already being reported in some of the windier areas this evening. Stronger winds are forecast to develop on Sunday, as the high pressure system north of the state strengthens and the frontal band over the islands dissipates.

The main weather threats remain: A Wind Advisory was issued for all islands this evening, this advisory will be replaced by a High Wind Warning for the same areas by early Sunday morning. A Winter Storm Warning also remains in effect for the highest summits on the Big Island from Sunday through Monday. A Flood Watch also remains in effect through Monday for all Hawaiian Islands. Heavy rain, thunderstorm and flooding threats will slowly ease from Monday night into Tuesday with wind threats easing up from Tuesday night into Wednesday. However strong and breezy trade winds will likely continue just below our advisory thresholds through the rest of the week.

 

Hawaii’s Broad Brush Weather Overview…as of 832pmThe cold front has stalled near Maui this evening. This frontal boundary combined with increasing moisture and a disturbance aloft, will bring the potential for heavy rainfall, flash flooding, and a few rumbles of thunder through Monday. Breezy north to northeasterly winds will continue to fill in behind the front, with the trades then becoming very windy Sunday into Monday as strong high pressure builds north of the state. Conditions will gradually improve by mid to late next week, though breezy and showery trade wind weather is expected to persist.

 

Flood Threat Outlook: 

What
> Heavy rain leading to flash flooding
Where
> Entire state, particularly windward areas
> Confidence increasing for Maui County.
When
> As early as today, but most likely Sunday into Monday
Impacts
> Flooding of roads, streams, and poorly draining areas

 

Damaging Wind Threat: 

What
> Strong, sustained trade winds 30+ mph
> Gusts 60+ mph possible
Where
> Entire state, particularly over and downslope of terrain, through valleys, and other local acceleration areas.
When
> Late Sunday through Monday
Impacts
> Potential for power outages, downed tree limbs
>Weaker trees may be uprooted
> Driving may be difficult in high profile vehicles

 

Hawaii’s Weather Details…as of 328pm: Satellite and radar imagery show mostly cloudy and unsettled conditions across the state. A cold front moved across Kauai and Oahu overnight into the early morning hours, then through Maui County earlier today, bringing gusty north to northeasterly winds in its wake, along with periods of moderate to heavy rainfall.

Over the past 24 hours, north- and east-facing areas of Kauai, Oahu, and Molokai have generally received 2 to 4+ inches of rainfall, much of which fell as the front passed through. Rainfall rates have mostly remained manageable, limiting flooding impacts overall. One exception occurred earlier today over Molokai, where higher rates prompted a Flood Advisory.

Since then, rainfall rates have eased somewhat, with showers lingering near the frontal boundary and broader stratiform showers streaming northeastward across the western end of the state. More recently, heavier showers have developed over the North Kohala district of the Big Island, prompting the issuance of a Flood Advisory there as well.

This front will continue to slow and eventually stall and dissipate in the vicinity of Maui County and the Big Island. This feature will continue to be the main focus for heavy showers, making the flooding threat locations highly dependent on where this axis of deep moisture and convergence sets up. Then as the front dissipates, the moisture and forcing will become more diffuse across the state, making it harder to pinpoint where and when the heaviest rainfall will occur.

High resolution model guidance continues to show windward areas anywhere between Oahu and the Big Island being the main focus for the highest rainfall through Monday, making windward portions of Maui County the most likely to see flooding during this period. However, the flooding threat remains statewide, and thus the Flood Watch remains in effect for all islands. With the instability from the upper level disturbance moving overhead, a few isolated thunderstorms may develop within this shower activity, but chances remain low.

In addition to the flooding threat, damaging winds will become a concern late Sunday into Monday, as high pressure builds in from the north and a surface trough develops and deepens into a low west of the state. The resulting tightening pressure gradient between these surface features will strengthen the trade winds late Sunday into Monday, with the potential for High Wind Warning level gusts (60+ mph) across mainly leeward downsloping areas or in showers. The main impacts will likely be power outages, downed trees (especially with saturated soils), and difficulty traveling in high-profile vehicles. A High Wind Warning is now in effect for most locations across the state Sunday through Monday.

Finally, winter weather impacts are possible for the Big Island summits this weekend. As deep moisture overspreads the island, an upper level disturbance nudges in from the northwest, and temperatures aloft drop below freezing, conditions will become favorable for heavy snowfall at the summits. As a result, a Winter Storm Warning has been issued for the summits of Mauna Kea and Mauna Loa from Sunday morning through Monday afternoon.

Conditions will gradually improve for the middle and latter portion of next week, although a somewhat showery and breezy trade wind pattern will likely persist.

                                                                                                                                                 

Here’s a near real-time Wind Profile of the Pacific Ocean – Zoom Earth – along with a Closer View of the islands / Vog map animation / 8-Day Precipitation model

https://www.weather.gov/images/hfo/graphics/npac.gif 

 

Hawaii’s Marine Environment: A front is currently over the Kaiwi Channel and is expected to stall and dissipate over Maui County later today. ASCAT pass overnight showed widespread strong northerly winds behind the front, and these strong winds should fill in over Maui County behind the dissipating front. A Small Craft Advisory (SCA) remains in effect across the waters surrounding the smaller islands today. Over Big Island waters, gentle to moderate east to southeast winds will give way to strengthening easterly winds by tonight. Thus the Small Craft Advisory for Big Island waters start this evening.

As the high expands and strengthens on Sunday, trade winds will strengthen to near gale to gale force over most waters Sunday afternoon through Monday. Due to the strengthening trades, a Gale Watch has been issued starting Sunday for all Hawaiian waters. In addition, expect heavy showers over most waters Saturday through Monday with some isolated thunderstorms especially over select leeward waters Sunday through Monday. Winds are expected to ease some on Tuesday, but still remain in the strong range with some near gales over the windier waters through at least Wednesday.

A large west-northwest swell (295-310 degrees) has peaked overnight across most areas and will be trending lower throughout the day today. Recent observations at buoys 51001 and 51101 northwest of Kauai indicate a steady decline over the past 8 hours, and we should see surf drop below High Surf Warning thresholds this afternoon. A High Surf Warning (HSW) remains in place for exposed north and west facing shores for today, but it should be downgraded to an advisory later this afternoon, and drop below advisory thresholds by Sunday morning. Over on the Big Island, we should see a steady rise throughout the day today along west facing shores and a High Surf Advisory is in effect. Small to moderate north-northwest to northwest swells will prevail through the remainder of next week.

Surf along east facing shores will significantly ramp up Sunday into Monday as the trade winds strengthen, with surf heights exceeding the advisory level by Sunday night. Surf heights may potentially get close to warning levels along east facing shores of Kauai and Oahu on Monday. Large east shore surf will slowly decline Tuesday into Wednesday, but remain elevated through the remainder of the week. Surf along south facing shores will remain small with some small background south-southwest energy expected throughout the first half of next week. Select southern exposures exposed to the wind swell will likely see some larger waves.

 

Rainy Season in Maui: A Comprehensive Guide to Weather Patterns and Travel Tips - Real Hawaii Tours



World-wide Tropical Cyclone Activity

 

Atlantic Ocean:  There are no active tropical cyclones

Caribbean Sea:  There are no active tropical cyclones

Gulf of America:  There are no active tropical cyclones

 

Northeastern Pacific:  There are no active tropical cyclones

North Central Pacific: There are no active tropical cyclones

Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)

 

Northwest Pacific Ocean:  There are no active tropical cyclones

Southwest Pacific Ocean:  There are no active tropical cyclones

North Indian Ocean:  There are no active tropical cyclones

 

South Indian Ocean:  

Tropical Cyclone 20S (Mitchell)…is located approximately 168 NM northeast of Learmonth, Australia

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/sh2026.gif

 

Tropical Cyclone 21S…is located approximately 128 NM north of Port Louis, Mauritius

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/sh2126.gif

 

Arabian Sea:  There are no active tropical cyclones

 

Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

 

>>> Here’s a link to the Pacific Disaster Center’s (PDC Global) Weather Wall website

 

Interesting:  Seas to Rise Around the World — but Not in Greenland

As the planet warms, seas will rise around the world — but not in Greenland, where they are projected to fall by several feet, according to a new study.

The reasons are twofold. First, the massive Greenland ice sheet, which at its center is roughly a mile thick, compresses the land underneath. As the ice melts, the land rebounds, rising above the sea.

Second, the Greenland ice sheet is so large that it exerts a gravitational pull on surrounding waters, drawing them higher. But in a warming Arctic, Greenland is shedding some 200 billion tons of ice a year. As its gravitational pull wanes, waters recede.

Read More: Yale Environment 360