Air Temperatures The following high temperatures (F) were recorded across the state of Hawaii Monday…along with the low temperatures Monday:

83 69  Lihue, Kauai
9073  Honolulu, Oahu
9069  Molokai AP
93 70  Kahului AP, Maui
8973  Kailua Kona
82 – 74  Hawaii

Here are the latest 24-hour precipitation totals (inches) for each of the islands Monday evening:

0.72  Kilohana, Kauai
1.66  Poamoho RG 1, Oahu
0.05  Molokai
0.20  Lanai
0.04  Kahoolawe
1.56  Puu Kukui, Maui
2.15  Mountain View, Big Island

The following numbers represent the strongest wind gusts (mph) Monday evening:

17  Poipu, Kauai
35  Oahu Forest NWR, Oahu

24  Molokai
22  Lanai
35  Kahoolawe
27  Kahului AP, Maui
21  Kealakomo, Big Island

Hawaii’s MountainsHere’s a link to the live webcam on the summit of our tallest mountain Mauna Kea (nearly 13,800 feet high) on the Big Island of Hawaii. Here’s the webcam for the 10,000+ feet high Haleakala Crater on Maui. These webcams are available during the daylight hours here in the islands, and at night whenever there’s a big moon shining down. Also, at night you will be able to see the stars, and the sunrise and sunset too…depending upon weather conditions.


Aloha Paragraphs


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Hurricane Norman on the current forecast track will come towards Hawaii, likely passing offshore northeast of the islands…as a weakening hurricane or tropical storm / Hurricane Olivia will likely be passing offshore northeast of the islands (as well)…also as a weakening storm (click images to enlarge)

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Hurricane Norman now in the central Pacific…and Olivia in the eastern Pacific

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Hurricane Norman is approaching to the east


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Clear to partly cloudy…cloudy areas locally

 

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Low clouds arriving on the trade winds

 

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Showers locally and offshore…some are heavy
Looping image

 

~~~ Hawaii Weather Narrative ~~~

 

Hurricane Warning

Small Craft Advisory

 

Broad Brush Overview: Late summer trades will be increasing, as a trough of low pressure departs westward away from the state. These trades will bring an increase in windward showers through tonight, although the trades may be light enough to allow sea breezes to bring afternoon clouds…and a few showers to leeward areas too. Trade wind showers are expected to diminish Wednesday, as Hurricane Norman draws closer to the islands. The models expect Norman to take a turn before reaching the islands, with light winds late in the week into the weekend.

Details: As the trough moves away from the island chain, and high pressure builds far to the north and northeast, look for gradually strengthening trade winds. Satellites show a band of showery low clouds over windward portions, and this area marks the leading edge of the returning trade wind flow. Radar is detecting some heavier showers within this westward-moving band. A weak trough aloft near the islands is providing some instability…thus there’s a slight chance of thunderstorms here and there.

A more widespread trade wind pattern is expected to return tonight and Tuesday, with clouds and showers primarily focused over windward and mountain areas of the state. This should keep the associated trade wind flow to be somewhat showery through early Wednesday. As Hurricane Norman draws closer to the islands, decreasing showers are expected early Wednesday through Wednesday night, as subsidence on the periphery of what may be a weakening tropical storm Norman…leads to a drying trend.

Looking Ahead: For Thursday and Friday into the weekend, the forecast hinges on the eventual track of Hurricane Norman. The NHC forecast has been consistently indicating that Norman will move generally west toward the islands into mid-week, then turn toward the northwest as it approaches the islands…with the center remaining offshore. If this pans out, the trades will turn more northerly Thursday before weakening Friday, with light winds persisting into the weekend. Significant uncertainty surrounds this aspect of the forecast…and may change.

Here’s a near real-time Wind Profile of the Pacific Ocean – along with a Closer View of the islands / Here’s the latest Weather Map / Here’s the latest Vog Forecast Animation / Here’s the Vog Information website

Marine Environmental Conditions: A surface trough just west of Kauai will continue to move west and exit the far western offshore waters tonight. In its wake, moderate trade winds will begin to fill in and strengthen to locally strong levels Tuesday. Meanwhile, an above normal swell generated by Hurricane Norman is forecast to reach the eastern-most offshore waters Tuesday and gradually spread westward impacting some of our coastal waters Wednesday through Thursday. A High Surf Advisory and/or Warning will likely be imposed to all exposed east facing shores. This scenario is dependent on the track and intensity of Hurricane Norman.

A series of small south and southwest swells will arrive throughout the week…that will keep the surf from being flat.



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World-wide Tropical Cyclone Activity

 

Here’s the latest Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) Weather Wall Presentation covering Tropical Storm 06L (Florence), and Tropical Storm 07L (Gordon) in the Atlantic Ocean

Here’s the latest Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) Weather Wall Presentation covering the Pacific and Indian Oceans, including Hurricane 16E (Norman), Hurricane 17E Olivia, and Typhoon 25W (Jebi)


>>> Atlantic Ocean:

Tropical Storm 06L (Florence) remains active…and will remain a tropical storm over the open ocean

According to the NHC…Florence is moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph, and this general motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days followed by a turn toward the northwest around Friday. Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected through tonight, but some weakening is forecast on Wednesday. Afterward, gradual strengthening is forecast through the weekend. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles from the center.

Here’s what the computer models are showing

1.) A tropical wave accompanied by a broad low pressure system located a few hundred miles south-southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands is forecast to move slowly westward to west-northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic for the next several days. Although this disturbance continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms, environmental conditions are expected to gradually become conducive for further development, and a tropical depression is likely to form by late this week or this weekend.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…70 percent

>>> Caribbean Sea:

>>> Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical Storm 07L (Gordon)…will reach portions of the central Gulf Coast late Tuesday into Wednesday

Here’s what the computer models are showing

According to the NHC…Gordon is moving toward the west-northwest near 15 mph. A west-northwestward to northwestward motion with some decrease in forward speed is expected over the next few days. On the forecast track, the center of Gordon will move across the eastern Gulf of Mexico today, and will approach the north-central Gulf Coast within the warning area late this afternoon or evening, and move inland over the lower Mississippi Valley tonight or early Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph with higher gusts. Some strengthening is expected today, and Gordon is forecast to be a hurricane when it makes landfall along the north-central Gulf Coast. Rapid weakening is expected after Gordon moves inland. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles from the center. NOAA Buoy 42039, located north of Gordon’s center, recently reported a sustained wind of 43 mph and a gust to 49 mph.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND  –

STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide… Shell Beach to Dauphin Island, Alabama…3 to 5 ft. Navarre Florida to Dauphin Island, including Mobile Bay…2 to 4 ft. Shell Beach to the Mouth of Mississippi River…2 to 4 ft. Mouth of the Mississippi River to the Louisiana-Texas border…1 to 2 ft. The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to the east of the landfall location, where the surge will be accompanied by large waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances.

RAINFALL: Gordon is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 4 to 8 inches over the western Florida Panhandle, southwest Alabama, southern and central Mississippi, southeastern and northeastern Louisiana, and southern Arkansas, with isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches through late Thursday. This rainfall will cause flash flooding across portions of these areas.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin this afternoon within portions of the warning area, with hurricane conditions expected by this evening in the hurricane warning area.

TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible this afternoon through tonight near the coasts of Mississippi, Alabama, and the Florida Panhandle.

Here’s a satellite image of the Caribbean Sea…and the Gulf of Mexico

Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)

>>> Eastern Pacific:

Hurricane 17E (Olivia) remains active…and will strengthen as it heads west-northwest

Here’s what the computer models are showing

According to the NHC…Olivia is moving toward the west near 9 mph, and the hurricane is forecast to move faster tomorrow and turn west-northwestward late Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 75 mph with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast, and Olivia could become a category 2 hurricane on Tuesday, with little significant intensity change forecast on Wednesday or Thursday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles.

 

1.) A broad area of low pressure could form well south of the southwestern coast of Mexico in a couple of days. Some slow development of this system is possible later this week while it moves west-northwestward.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent

>>> Central Pacific: 

Hurricane 16E (Norman) remains active…as a Category 1 storm

Here’s what the computer models are showing


According to the CPHCNorman is moving toward the west near 17 mph. A westward motion with a decrease in forward speed is expected to continue through Tuesday night, followed by a turn to the west-northwest on Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph with higher gusts. Slight weakening is possible overnight and Tuesday, but Norman is forecast to remain a hurricane through Wednesday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles.

>>> Northwest Pacific Ocean:

Typhoon 25W (Jebi)

JTWC textual advisory
JTWC graphical track map

>>> South Pacific Ocean: No active tropical cyclones

>>> North and South Indian Oceans / Arabian Sea: No active tropical cyclones

Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

 

Interesting: Could This Slimy Corn ‘Fix’ One of Earth’s Biggest Pollution Problems? – It probably doesn’t look like any corn you’ve seen. At 16 feet, it stands about twice as tall as conventional corn. And sticking out of the stalks, high above the ground, are aerial roots, red finger-like protrusions coated in slime.

But despite this alien-like goo, this species of corn — indigenous to the Sierra Mixe region of Oaxaca, Mexico, where the locals have long been cultivating and eating it — is remarkable for another reason. It’s the only corn that scientists know of that can take in nitrogen directly from the air and use it to grow.

Nitrogen is an essential nutrient, and the ability for a major crop to use atmospheric nitrogen would change the world, reducing the nitrogen pollution that’s become one of the biggest environmental problems afflicting the globe.

All living organisms need nitrogen. It’s needed to build the proteins, for example, that allow organisms to function and grow. But although the atmosphere is 78 percent nitrogen, it’s out of reach from animals and most plants. That’s because the nitrogen in our air consists of two nitrogen atoms, tightly bonded together, and that requires a lot of energy to break,  said Alan Bennett, a plant biologist at the University of California, Davis, who helped analyze the nitrogen-fixing corn.

Among crops, only legumes, such as soybeans, beans, and alfalfa, can access this nitrogen — and only with the aid of bacteria. The microbes use an enzyme to convert —or “fix” — atmospheric nitrogen into usable form, compounds such as ammonia (a nitrogen molecule bonded to three hydrogen molecules) or nitrate (a nitrogen bonded to three oxygen molecules), Bennett said.

Most major crops, such as corn, wheat, and rice, can’t, according to R. Ford Denison, a crop ecologist at the University of Minnesota.

Because crops can’t convert the nitrogen in the air to a form they can use, farmers must provide fixed nitrogen for them in the form of fertilizer. In the early 20th century, the German scientist Fritz Haber developed what’s known as the Haber-Bosch process to convert atmospheric nitrogen into ammonia — the basis of synthetic fertilizer that now feeds nearly half the world. “Without the ability to produce synthetic fertilizer, we wouldn’t be able to produce enough food for the current population,” Bennett said.

The problem is that it’s hard for farmers to estimate exactly how much fertilizer is needed, leading to overuse and waste. About 57 percent of the nitrogen in fertilizer ends up polluting the environment, said Xin Zhang, an environmental scientist at the University of Maryland Center for Environmental Science.

This influx upsets the natural nitrogen cycle of Earth. Normally, nitrogen gets recycled back into the soil. The nitrogen in plants, for example, is in a usable form, so when they drop leaves, seeds or simply die, the nitrogen returns to the soil for other plants to use. Animals also bring usable nitrogen back to the soil through urine and feces. “The key thing is that nobody was taking any nitrogen far away,” Denison told Live Science.

When crops are shipped across the world, nitrogen does not get recycled — forcing farmers to replenish it with fertilizer.

In a 2009 analysis in the journal Nature of the world’s major environmental problems, researchers found that nitrogen pollution has already passed the point where it can lead to devastating consequences. The only two other problems where the planet had exceeded such a threshold were climate change and the loss of biodiversity, according to the analysis.

In the U.S., for example, excess nitrogen from fertilizers ends up in rivers and waterways, draining into the Gulf of Mexico. Algae gorge on the nitrogen, proliferating as algal blooms. But when the algae die, the bacteria that cause decomposition guzzle all the oxygen in the water, creating so-called dead zones that kill sea life. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Association estimated the dead zone in the Gulf of Mexico to span an area about the size of New Jersey.

Nitrates can also seep into the water supply at toxic levels. Some nitrogen can be released into the air as nitrous oxide (two nitrogen molecules bonded to an oxygen molecule), which depletes the ozone layer and is a greenhouse gas that causes global warming, Zhang said.

The production of fertilizer itself is also an energy-intensive process that produces greenhouse gases. Fertilizer is expensive, and wasting it can cost billions of dollars worldwide, according to David Zilberman, an agricultural economist at the University of California, Berkeley.

With the U.N. forecasting that the population will near 10 billion by 2050, the demand for food — and nitrogen — will only intensify.

The slime on the Sierra Mixe giant Mexican corn, which scientists described in a new study published in PLOS Biology on Aug. 7, feeds a community of bacteria that fixes nitrogen in the air. Although this mucus-covered maize has some scientists excited, it probably won’t solve anything right away. “This corn is of course very productive for the community it’s grown in, but it’s not directly applicable to conventional production systems of corn,” Bennett said. For one, it takes eight months to mature — much longer than conventional corn’s three months.

The researchers measured that the corn fixed from 29 percent to 82 percent of its own nitrogen. But that amount is negligible compared to what farmers require for their fields, Denison said.

Still, studying it might help researchers engineer or breed nitrogen-fixing corn — either by itself or with the help of bacteria — that can feed the world. The challenges are, nevertheless, immense, Denison said.

To fix nitrogen, bacteria need a lot of energy, which requires oxygen. But oxygen breaks down the enzyme that the microbes rely on for fixing nitrogen. Legumes solve the problem by housing the bacteria inside nodules in the roots, where the plant can control how much oxygen the microbes receive. To engineer or develop this capability in corn is a huge challenge. “I don’t see any prospect for that happening in my lifetime,” Denison said.

Bennett is much more sanguine. Biotech companies, agriculture corporations, startups and even the Gates Foundation have poured resources into developing nitrogen-fixing crops. “I’m pretty confident that all these approaches will converge in some ways within five or 10 years,” he said. “We’re likely to see a significant level of nitrogen fixation occurring in conventional maize crops.”

If such technology does come to pass, and it works for other crops as well, the benefits would be huge. Poorer farmers who can’t afford fertilizer, such as those in southern Africa, would be able to boost their yields to the tune of $2.5 billion to $7.2 billion, Zilberman said. In the most optimistic case, he said, full adoption could lead to $17 billion to $70 billion in cost savings worldwide.

“This technology will be revolutionary,” he said. “It will be good for farmers, it will be good for consumers, and it will be good for the environment.”

In the meantime, farmers can adopt strategies to deliver fertilizer only when and where it’s really necessary. As part of what’s called precision agriculture, new technology like sensors and drones are helping farmers be more efficient, Zhang said.