The latest update to this website was at 232pm Tuesday (HST)

 

Here are the highest temperatures Tuesday afternoon…and the lowest Tuesday morning:

79 / 66  Lihue AP, Kauai
81 / 65  Molokai AP, Molokai
79 / 59  Kahului AP, Maui
80 / 66  Kona AP, Big Island
78 / 63  Hilo AP, Big Island

Here are the latest 24-hour precipitation totals (inches) for each of the islands as of Tuesday afternoon:

0.04  Mount Waialeale, Kauai
0.02  Manoa Lyons Arboretum, Oahu
0.04  Puu Alii, Molokai
0.00  Lanai
0.00  Maui
0.05  Kahuku Ranch, Big Island

The following numbers represent the strongest wind gusts (mph) as of Tuesday afternoon:

12  Waimea Heights, Kauai
18  Waianae Valley, Oahu
16  Makapulapai, Molokai
15  Lanai 1, Lanai
12  Kahului AP, Maui
18  Puu Mali, Big Island

Hawaii’s Mountains – Here’s a link to the live webcams on the summit of our tallest mountain Mauna Kea (~13,800 feet high) on the Big Island of Hawaii, and atop the Haleakala Crater (~10,023 feet) on Maui. These webcams are available during the daylight hours here in the islands, and at night whenever there’s a big moon shining down. Also, at night you will be able to see the stars, and the sunrise and sunset too…depending upon weather conditions.

 

https://weather.gc.ca/data/satellite/goes_gwdisk11_1070_100.jpg

Big Blue…click twice for largest version

 

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES17/ABI/SECTOR/tpw/13/GOES17-TPW-13-900x540.gif 

 The next cold front is approaching from the northwest…with an upper level low spinning far northeast


https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES17/ABI/SECTOR/hi/GEOCOLOR/GOES17-HI-GEOCOLOR-600x600.gif

Variable clouds across the state

 

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES17/ABI/SECTOR/hi/13/GOES17-HI-13-600x600.gif

High clouds are moving over Hawaii from the northwest

 

https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/standard/HAWAII_loop.gif

Very few showers

 

https://www.weather.gov/images/hfo/satellite/Kauai_VIS_loop.gif

Kauai and Oahu (Satellite)

 

https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/standard/PHKI_loop.gif

Kauai and Oahu (Radar)

 

https://www.weather.gov/images/hfo/satellite/Oahu-Maui_VIS_loop.gif

Oahu and Maui County (Satellite)

 

https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/standard/PHMO_loop.gif

Oahu and Maui County (Radar)

 

https://www.weather.gov/images/hfo/satellite/Hawaii_VIS_loop.gif

 Maui, Kahoolawe, Lanai, and the Big Island (Satellite)

 

https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/standard/PHKM_loop.gif

Maui County and the Big Island (Radar)

 

https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/standard/PHWA_loop.gif

Big Island (Radar)

 

Model showing precipitation through 8-days (you can slow this animation down)

 

https://www.weather.gov/wwamap/png/hfo.png

Please open this link to see details on any current Watches, Warnings and Advisories noted above

 

https://www.weather.gov/images/hfo/graphics/pmsl.gif

~~~ Hawaii Weather Narrative ~~~

 

Glenn’s Tuesday comments:  I’m home here in upper Kula, Maui, Hawaii. I hope you have a good day wherever you happen to be spending it.

It’s clear over Kula, with a cold low temperature of 46 degrees according to my outside temperature sensor.

Weather Wit of the day:  Daylight Saving Time – A light preserver

 

Hawaii’s Broad Brush Weather Overview:  Breezy trades will become light and variable today, allowing sea breezes to develop during the day and land breezes overnight, however chances of precipitation will remain low. A cold front will bring a brief round of showers and perhaps an isolated thunderstorm Wednesday into Thursday. This will be followed by a reinforcing shot of cool weather.

Hawaii’s Weather Details:  Atmospheric soundings continue to show relatively low inversion heights around 4,000 to 5,000 feet with precipitable water vapor slightly below normal around .90 inches. This setup will maintain rather dry, stable conditions today. An approaching front northwest of Kauai continues to move east, weakening the pressure gradient and allowing for afternoon sea breezes to develop a few interior clouds and isolated showers given the relatively dry atmosphere.

A low will quickly develop along the cold front to our north, as upper level low pressure energy shifts south today. The low will lift north as the energy aloft pivots through the forecast area, driving the cold front eastward through Kauai and Oahu early Wednesday through Wednesday afternoon, and into the eastern end of the state on Wednesday night. Strong forcing aloft couple with slightly deeper moisture along the front, may allow for a better coverage of showers. Mid-level lapse rates are adequate for an isolated thunderstorm or two along the front. It appears the chance for thunder will be fleeting over the islands themselves, the greater probabilities residing over the waters north and east of the area.

Frontal passage on Wednesday will be accompanied by a transient period of light to moderate showers and just a slight chance of thunder. Followed by a transition to moderate to breezy northwest winds based on the latest model guidance. Wednesday night through Friday night will feature rather cool weather, characterized by large diurnal swings in temperature with typical daytime highs, followed by overnight lows falling into the 50’s in some locales, particularly sheltered and interior zones. Chances of precipitation will be minimal following the front as mid level drying filters in.

The main uncertainty is the extent of eastward progress of the front, and whether the incoming cool airmass will penetrate as far east as the Big Island. At this time, model consensus suggests forward progress of the front stalls over or immediately east of the Big Island, suggesting they are still in the game for a brief period of cooler weather. Humidity levels will rebound as trades return for the weekend. If the front makes it through the Big Island, the lingering moisture combined with another upper level trough digging south may give Big Island a better chance for thunderstorms Thursday afternoon. Another upper level disturbance and occupying front may impact the state again Sunday into Monday of next week.

Fire weather:  Winds are forecast to remain below the threshold value while a reinforcing shot of dry air causes afternoon relative humidity values to fall to near or slightly below 40 percent Thursday and Friday. Critical fire weather concerns are not anticipated.

Here’s a near real-time Wind Profile of the Pacific Ocean – along with a Closer View of the islands / Here’s the latest Weather Map / Vog map animation

Hawaii’s Marine Environment:  Trade winds will diminish with light and variable winds over most of the waters as a surface ridge to the north is weakened and pushed southward. A frontal passage is expected to move down the island chain Wednesday and Thursday, bringing a period of rainfall and possible thunderstorms. A brief period of fresh prefrontal south to southwest kona winds is excepted on Wednesday, mainly over the eastern half of the island chain. Following the frontal passage, moderate to strong northwest to north winds will result in localized accelerations through channels and leeward areas, prompting the need for a Small Craft Advisory (SCA) for select waters Wednesday and Thursday. Winds will diminish late Thursday and Friday as the front stalls then dissipates near the Big Island. A brief return of trade winds is due on Saturday.

The current northwest swell will continue to decline and forerunners of another northwest swell will arrive late tonight. This swell will slowly build through Wednesday and peak Wednesday night and Thursday, leading to High Surf Advisory (HSA) conditions across most north and west facing shores from Kauai to Maui, and SCA level seas over exposed waters. As this swell declines late Thursday and Friday, a storm low centered well north of Hawaii will send a medium period north swell that could produce HSA surf for north shores. The north swell will lower through the weekend, and may be followed by a moderate to large northwest swell next Monday.

East shore surf surf will decline slightly as trades diminish, though a small pulse of short period northeast swell is expected through Wednesday. Aside from areas exposed to wrapping north swell Thursday into the weekend, east shore surf will be small. Surf along south facing shores will remain tiny as it returns to typical wintertime conditions for south shores. A tiny pulse of south-southwest swell is possible for the weekend.

 

Maui Weather Forecast for November 06, 2024 : Maui Now

 

 

World-wide Tropical Cyclone Activity

 

Atlantic Ocean:  There are no active tropical cyclones

Caribbean Sea:  There are no active tropical cyclones

Gulf of Mexico:  There are no active tropical cyclones

Northeastern Pacific:  There are no active tropical cyclones

Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)

North Central Pacific:  There are no active tropical cyclones

Here’s the link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC)

Northwest Pacific Ocean:  There are no active tropical cyclones

Southwest Pacific Ocean:  There are no active tropical cyclones

North and South Indian Ocean: 

Tropical Cyclone 10S (Sean) is located approximately 450 NM southwest of Learmonth, Australia

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/sh1025.gif

Arabian Sea:  There are no active tropical cyclones

Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

>>> Here’s a link to the Pacific Disaster Center’s (PDC Global) Weather Wall website

 

Interesting:  Research on Past Hurricanes Aims to Reduce Future Risk

Tropical storms like hurricanes are not only terrifying, but also incredibly costly for coastal regions across the United States, Mexico, Central America and the Caribbean. Beyond the immediate devastation, these storms contribute to significant economic losses and human displacement. In 2023 alone, climate migration linked to such events saw 2.5 million individuals attempt to cross the U.S. southern land border.

New research led by The University of Texas at Arlington emphasizes that studying the impacts of past tropical storms can help communities better prepare for future storms. A key part of the study is analyzing the types and quantities of storm-related precipitation in affected regions to understand its role on local water resources. By mitigating excessive damage, such preparation could enable more people to remain in their home countries. This is increasingly urgent as climate change is expected to make tropical storms 10-15% more frequent and intense.

Read more at: University of Texas at Arlington